==== The Black Swan - Nassim Nicholas Taleb==== [[reading notes]] for//The Black Swan// by Nassim Nicholas Taleb * https://www.zotero.org/groups/foam_library/items/itemKey/JXCJFIWZ/q/swan * pp. xxi, xxv, xxvii, 7,8,9,11,12 (memory), 14 (bond prices), 15, 16 (complexity), 19 (platonic folds), 21, 24, 31, 33, 35(lists), 37 (grey swans), 42 * 'black swan event' proofing >> [[taleb robustness]] ==== Long Now Seminar ==== * Nassim Nicholas Taleb discusses many of the ideas from 'The Black Swan' in his [[Long Now]] seminar about long term thinking >> http://s3.amazonaws.com/salt-recordings/salt-020080208-taleb/salt-020080208-taleb_web.mp3 ==== NNT / / Authors Notes ==== * http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/notebook.htm ==== research using black swan / 4th quadrant as a starting point ==== via http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/DerivTBS.htm * SPECIAL ISSUES of ACADEMIC JOURNALS: * International Journal of Forecasting, 2009 -- Decision Making under Low Levels of Predictability - Articles by Makridakis, Gigererenzer, Taleb, Goldstein, etc. * The American Statistician 2007 Black Swan Articles --Brown, Lund, Wesfall, Hilbe, and Taleb * Critical Review Black Swan Symposium Blyth, Callahan, Jervis, and Runde * BOOK LENGTH WORKS * Lecturing Birds on Flying Pablo Triana, Wiley 2009 * The Blank Swan, The End of Probability Elie Ayache, Wiley 2010 * The Art of Credit Derivatives: Demystifying the Black Swan Joao Garcia & Serge Goossens. Wiley 2010 * On the Survival of Rats in the Slush Pile Michael Allen (on the Casanova problem in the publishing industry) * ECONOMICS / STATISTICS / OPERATIONS RESEARCH * Quality, Risk and the Taleb Quadrants IBM Quality & Productivity Research, 2009, Ron S. Kenett and Charles S. Tapiero, SSRN * A Black Swan in the Money Market, NBER Working Paper No. W13943, Rock Center for Corporate Governance Working Paper No. 33 * John B. Taylor and John C. Williams, Stanford University and Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco * Black Swan or Fat Turkey? Business Strategy Review, Vol. 19, Issue 3, pp. 34-39, Autumn 2008 Geoff Booth and Elias Mazzawi , SSRN * Italian Operational Requirement and Small Banks: The Black Swan Bancaria No. 03-2009 ,Gianfausto Salvadori , Simona Cosma and Giampaolo Gabbi , SSRN * Nickels versus Black Swans: Reputation, Trading Strategies and Asset Prices Yale ICF Working Paper No. 08-26 Steven G. Malliaris and Hongjun Yan C Yale University - International Center for Finance and Yale University - International Center for Finance , SSRN * Swan-Upmanship Business Strategy Review, Vol. 20, Issue 1, pp. 58-61, Spring 2009, Des Dearlove , SSRN * The Financial Meltdown of 2008: Causes and Symptoms Saur Vaishwanar, SSRN * Monetary and Financial Stability Axel Leijonhufvud, The Centre for Economic Policy Research, No 14 * DEFENSE * COOP Hardening Against Black Swans, Victoria Fineberg, National Defense University, 2009 * PHYSICS/ECONOPHYSICS * Dragon-Kings, Black Swans and the Prediction of Crises, Didier Sornette, 2009, ArXiv, arXiv.org > physics > arXiv:0907.4290, In Press, International Journal of Terraspace Science and Engineering (2009 * ENGINEERING * Strategies for managing the Consequences of Black Swan Events, Avinash M Nafday, Leadership and Management in Engineering, October 2009 * CLIMATE CHANGE (Applications of the 4th Quadrant) * Review of Methodologies and Possible Scenarios For Conducting Vulnerability Assessments to Climate Change , G.J.Nasr, United Nations Economic and Social Commission, 2009 * INSURANCE * Black Swans or Black Holes, Gerry Smedinghoff, Contingencies, May-Jun 2008 * EDUCATION * In Search of Singular Insight, Gary Thomas, 2009 * In Search of the Black Swans, Mark Buchanan, Physics World, 2009 (about the publish and perish problem)