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forecasting [2014-02-11 05:11] – nikforecasting [2014-02-26 06:46] – [Affective Forecasting] maja
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-==== Six Rules for Effective Forecasting ====+==== Effective Forecasting ====
  
 "The goal of forecasting is not to predict the future but to tell you what you need to know to take meaningful action in the present." "The goal of forecasting is not to predict the future but to tell you what you need to know to take meaningful action in the present."
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-==== some other rules for Effective Forecasting ====+=== some other rules for Effective Forecasting ===
  from Paul Saffo's talk at [[:long now|the long now foundation]]  summarised by stewart brand  from Paul Saffo's talk at [[:long now|the long now foundation]]  summarised by stewart brand
  
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 --Stewart Brand --Stewart Brand
  
-----+==== Affective Forecasting ====
  
 +Affective forecasting (also known as hedonic forecasting or the hedonic forecasting mechanism) is the prediction of one's affect (emotional state) in the future. As a process that influences preferences, decisions, and behavior, affective forecasting is studied by both psychologists and economists, with broad applications.
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 +https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Affective_forecasting
 +
 +----
  
 +see also [[:future fabulators/non predictive strategy]], [[:future fabulators/scenario building]]
  • forecasting.txt
  • Last modified: 2019-03-13 11:18
  • by maja