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prediction_market [2013-10-07 21:26] – created nikprediction_market [2013-10-08 11:19] – nik
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 ==== Prediction Markets ==== ==== Prediction Markets ====
 +
 +A tool for collating group opinions (as they change over time) about well defined events using market principles. A probabilistic forecast of events.
 +
 +  * [[wp>Prediction_market]]
   * http://www.gwern.net/Prediction%20markets   * http://www.gwern.net/Prediction%20markets
 +  * http://www.overcomingbias.com/2006/12/the_80_forecast.html
 +  * http://ashokarao.com/2013/07/04/on-bets/
   * http://predictionbook.com/   * http://predictionbook.com/
   * long bets   * long bets
   * http://wrongtomorrow.com   * http://wrongtomorrow.com
   * [[futarchy]]   * [[futarchy]]
  • prediction_market.txt
  • Last modified: 2013-10-08 11:43
  • by nik