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resilients:future_preparedness_notes [2013-02-12 03:36] – Page name changed from resilients:foreground_research to resilients:future_preparedness_notes maja | resilients:future_preparedness_notes [2014-11-04 16:07] – [A few guidelines] maja | ||
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- | ==== Future preparedness | + | ==== Future preparedness |
- | Historic, recent and contemporary manifestations of [[future_preparedness]]; case studies; | + | Historic, recent and contemporary manifestations of [[future_preparedness]] |
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+ | ==== A few guidelines ==== | ||
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+ | * Notes from Joi Ito's Resiliency, Risk, and a [[a_good_compass|Good Compass]]: Tools for the Coming Chaos | ||
+ | * [[taleb_s_rules|Taleb' | ||
+ | * [[http:// | ||
+ | * [[:/ | ||
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+ | ==== Arts & Disaster Relief ==== | ||
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+ | * [[http:// | ||
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+ | * [[http:// | ||
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==== NNNI ==== | ==== NNNI ==== | ||
- | < | + | < |
- | -- Tito</ | + | -- Josip Broz Tito</ |
* [[:: | * [[:: | ||
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See also: http:// | See also: http:// | ||
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+ | ==== Disaster studies ==== | ||
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+ | * [[http:// | ||
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+ | < | ||
+ | More in [[http:// | ||
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+ | --- | ||
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+ | * [[http:// | ||
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==== Eucatastrophe ==== | ==== Eucatastrophe ==== | ||
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http:// | http:// | ||
- | The consolation of fairy-stories, | + | < |
http:// | http:// | ||
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+ | ==== Fragility and Anti Fragility ==== | ||
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+ | < | ||
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* [[naikan]]: An introspective technique in which the practitioner looks at his/her life through relationships with people. | * [[naikan]]: An introspective technique in which the practitioner looks at his/her life through relationships with people. | ||
- | ==== Survivalist green ==== | + | ==== Imagining the Future |
- | The most prominent face of Survivalist Green is that of the city dweller; the second is of the suburban or exurban dweller. (Covers everything from apartments along the rail line to Mega-Mansions in the exurb zone.) | ||
- | The third face of SG extends to the house trailer next to Mom & Dad's farmstead and on to the Off Griders and Climate Doom Cultists. | + | [[survivalist_green|Survivalist Green]]: notes about how surviving doesn't have to be so bad |
- | A boom in kitchen gardening and, community gardening/ | + | "The future is a process, not a theme park."- Bruce Sterling quoted from: http:// |
- | A dramatic fall off in per-capital solid waste generation rates: as in developing nations now, an empty container of any sort is caught on the first bounce and put to good use. Recycle/ | ||
- | Hunting and fishing will experience a major resurgence. Appointment to a State fish and game management commission is a coveted political opportunity. | + | ==== Mapping ==== |
- | Existing suburban tract-home developments filled with 5+ bedroom mansions will be converted to multiplex condominiums and mixed use communities with combined heat and power (CHP) units to provide electricity and heat to all residents. | + | Smart Places and Spatial Interventions http:// |
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- | Single family homes without thermal solar panels, as a minimum icon of energy independence, | + | |
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- | Condominiums located in old industrial areas near sources of water power will be retro-converted into industrial uses, leading to social conflicts over zoning. | + | |
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- | Acoustic music, with a chamber component, experience a resurgence in popularity. | + | |
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- | Bike and walking trail networks everywhere, of course. | + | |
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- | Obesity rates in young people will drop dramatically. | + | |
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- | Railroad stations in metro areas will be re-transitioned to urban market distribution centers - as the were in the early 20th Century. | + | |
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- | Individual non-business overseas travel becomes rare - and typically is constrained to high school or university experience. | + | |
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- | Business travel shrinks to that which is offset and, even then, much more of a rarity. | + | |
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- | Supply chains for raw materials shrink dramatically. A much higher proportion of raw materials come from recycling or local extracted raw materials. As a result, consumer goods become less commoditized, | + | |
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- | Self sufficiency and hard work replace workouts. | + | |
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- | We could go on...and on. But first we must ask. Does this sound so bad? | + | |
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- | Others have written well about overcoming the un-named, prospectively much darker outcome. | + | |
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- | http:// | + | |
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- | imagining the future - http:// | + | |
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- | ==== future making ==== | + | |
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- | * film & storytelling | + | |
- | * design and prototyping (fabbing) | + | |
- | * games – open source world building tools | + | |
- | * Scenaric Thinking, Framing and Visualizations – open source scenario planning tools, visualisation | + | |
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- | ==== Mapping ==== | + | |
- | * Smart Places and Spatial Interventions http:// | + | |
==== Critical Design ==== | ==== Critical Design ==== | ||
- | Critical Design, takes a critical theory based approach to design. Popularized by Anthony Dunne and Fiona Raby through their firm, Dunne & Raby. Critical design uses designed artifacts as an embodied critique or commentary on consumer culture. Both the designed artifact (and subsequent use) and the process of designing such an artifact causes reflection on existing values, mores, and practices in a culture. | + | < |
- | A critical design will often challenge its audience' | + | A critical design will often challenge its audience' |
http:// | http:// | ||
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==== Fiction as forecasting ==== | ==== Fiction as forecasting ==== | ||
- | Speculative, | + | Speculative, |
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+ | < | ||
- | Speculative literature is a catch-all term meant to inclusively span the breadth of fantastic literature, encompassing literature ranging from hard science fiction to epic fantasy to ghost stories to horror to folk and fairy tales to slipstream to magical realism to modern myth-making | ||
* http:// | * http:// | ||
* http:// | * http:// | ||
* http:// | * http:// | ||
+ | Speculative Design for a [[jesusautobot]] from Theun Karelse | ||
- | ==== Brussels Autonomous Army ==== | + | ==== Reading notes on indigenous research |
- | * [[disaster_studies]] | + | Notes collected by Cocky Eek: |
- | ==== Notes from TV series The Colony ==== | + | * I think it's important that the elder didn't just tell them the relationship between the mud and the fish, but took them to a place where they could discover that relationship for themselves. That is what relationality and relation accountability are all about. |
+ | * In an indigenous ontology, reality is the relationship that one has with the truth (rather than the truth being something that is 'out there' or external. Reality is not an object, but a process of relationships | ||
+ | * In indigenous research, knowledge is relational. It is not just interpersonal relationships, | ||
- | http:// | ||
- | After the euphoria of a catastrophe calms down, the survivors are left exhausted, sore and dirty. It is difficult to accept the new conditions of reality and abandon creature comforts. Being separated | + | ==== Notes from TV series The Colony ==== |
- | Water harvesting and filtering is one of the first things to sort out, and can be done easily with available materials. Dehydration can cause fatigue, cramps and nausea. After 4 days organs begin shutting down. | + | Some insights from an otherwise quite dreadful reality TV series [[The Colony]] about surviving disasters. |
- | The change in diet makes people lose a lot of weight, which results in loss of energy and confusion, lowering of mental capacities – slow degradation of complex thought. People can starve in 30-40 days. Hunting and foraging, as well as food preservation becomes a crucial skill. The colonists construct a smoke house and fuel it with wet woodchips (but the construction catches fire and spoils the food). Root cellar: burrying food to keep it cool. Foraging for plants and eating insects are good options. Hunger makes you forget about basic security. | + | http://dsc.discovery.com/ |
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- | The colonists are worried about security of their home and resources. They need tools (for hunting, construction) and power - generators, fuel. The colonists decide to make gas from animal fat, that they can harvest from found rotting carcases of pigs, then make fuelcells out of car batteries. They make a forge to make metal tools and materials. They make a windmill. They make a fermentation pot to make ethanol out of sugar, yeast and water. | + | |
- | Maintaining hygene is crucial: washing hands, having showers... The air, water and ground can be spoilt with pollutants that can't be filtered out. | ||
- | Vehicles: in order to be able to forage further, or leave if food and water aren't available. | + | ==== To follow-up |
- | When encountering strangers: a small group rebuilding a life, in a scarcity of information | + | * Future-making |
+ | * Prototyping techniques | ||
+ | * World building games and open source world building tools | ||
+ | * Scenaric Thinking, framing | ||
- | In times of despair people themselves become a commodity. It is crucial to know your behaviour and if too hotheaded, allow yourself to stay back. In a hostage situation, the plan is most important. No emotions should take over. | ||
- | Issues of leadership arise. There is always self-governance in the beginning, without a real leader. However people fall into their niche in frustrations. A single leader is useful: someone to check and oversee, not to give orders – an organiser, someone who can take on and take every member of the group into account. The choice of a leader can be done by a secret ballot. When struggling to survive, any person who can improve a situation becomes a beacon of hope, caution becomes secondary. | ||
- | NOTE: these notes were taken watching a few episodes from series 1 and 2. I'm not passing any judgement on the correctness of this information, | ||